73 years ruled the SPD in Bremen, but it could be over soon. Because of the citizenship of choice, Enjoyed from the plunge – and the CDU will for the first time, strongest force.

The crash had been expected, but, nevertheless, he is likely to do the SPD really hurts: The social Democrats lose massively on the river Weser. On just 24.5 per cent (2015: 32.8 per cent) are forecast still Enjoyed, according to ARD. And in the heartland, the “last Bastion” of social democracy. For 73 years, the SPD ruled here, a town hall without a red mayor, for many, is simply unthinkable.

And yet it could come soon. Because the CDU is 25.5 per cent (2015: 22.4 percent) for the first time, strongest force in Germany’s smallest Federal state. According to frenetically the Christian Democrats celebrated their top candidate Carsten Meyer-Heder. And formulated a government claim: “For the first Time, you said: The CDU should do it,” said the political newcomer in front of the jubilant supporters. And added in the ARD: “I want to be mayor.”

The first ARD forecast for the state election in Bremen, Germany

greens and the Left is not set to

Alone “make”, of course, the CDU can. Since the SPD has ruled out a Grand coalition already, would the CDU at the Moment only Jamaica, so an Alliance with the FDP and the Greens. The Cut is the second Sensation on the Weser: 18 percent to drive the Green (2015: 15.1 per cent) – and even if a whopping, two-digit results are in the Green in the Trend – it is a huge success. Together with the FDP on 6 percent, would be a “Jamaica coalition” possible.

Also conceivable Red would be Red-Green – coalition, for the not-Yet-mayor Carsten Sieling in the election campaign had advertised. Because the Left with 12 per cent (2015: 9.5%) also performed very well, would be quite conceivable that Sieling is still mayor.

The jump over the Five percent threshold also creates the AfD, it comes to 7 per cent. The relatively poor performance of the AfD is likely to be due to the competition from “citizen in rage”. The local right-wing populists to occur only in Bremerhaven. Across the country, you come to 2.8 percent – due to the peculiarities of the Bremen electoral law that could be enough for citizenship.

the Long faces in the SPD: mayor of Bremen, Carsten Sieling, after the announcement of the initial forecast.

by Contrast, cheers for the CDU: The Christian Democrats are likely to for the first time, strongest force in the Hanseatic city.

slap in the face

the SPD Should lose in Bremen indeed Power, then this should also have consequences for the Federal government. Observers had said before the election, the fall of the already strong pressure on the party leader Andrea Nahles, and Bremen will fall, and go out at the same time, to be held in a European election for the social Democrats is bad. This is likely to be the case: According to the latest ARD-high bills, the SPD only comes to about 15 percent. A crushing defeat.

Paler than the candidate, the loss of the tribal voters

In Bremen, may be related to the poor performance of the SPD together with the relatively pale current mayor Sieling. In pre-election polls, he was still on decent values – of the results of his predecessors, however, he was far away. At the same time, the SPD in Bremen, their traditional tribal voters – the port – and industrial workers – will be lost. Add to that the massive debt of the smallest Federal country: There is a lack of money and the feel of the Bremer. In education rankings, for example, the country occupies with regularity the last place.