India and Pakistan continue to attack each other in disputed Kashmir. On Wednesday stated Pakistan to the country have shot down two indian fighter jets, and took an indian pilot to catch. India just confirms that they lack one of their aircraft.
the Day before, India carried out the bombings on pakistani territory and claimed that they killed a ”large number” of members of the islamist terrorist organisation Jaish-e-Mohammed, which Pakistan denies.
the data makes it difficult to know exactly what has happened. But it is clear that the conflict is inside the worse location than in a very long time. When India on Tuesday bombed the pakistani terrorlägret it was the first time since 1971 that the indian air force went over the control cut-off. That events also stepped up on Wednesday creates a concern.
– After Wednesday’s events, we see an escalation that goes beyond most of what we have seen in this area, ” says Sten Widmalm, professor of political science at Uppsala university.
He sees a risk that the escalation continues.
– In the world of thought very few that it would escalate further. Today it has done it. So we must, unfortunately, expect that this could be worse. Exactly how it ends is, of course, only something one can speculate in. Both nations are represented by leaders that rationally speaking, you do not want it to spread. But when you send up fighter jets across the border may conflict a momentum of its own.
Because both countries have nuclear weapons, it is risky when they violate each other’s luftterritorium, something that the pakistani prime minister Imran Khan hinted in a speech broadcast on tv, where he called for dialogue to avoid further attacks.
– With the weapons you have and the weapons we have, we can afford to calculate the error? Shouldn’t we consider what this leads to if this escalates, said Khan.
sounds from India’s foreign minister Sushma Swaraj.
” India does not want this situation to escalate further, she said, according to the BBC.
at the same time, the conflict was a fire on the national feelings in India, which is facing an election in april. For hindunationalistiska prime minister Narendra Modi are points to pick on the tense situation.
Faced with a choice to heat the cases up and now it has almost become a nationalistic frenzy in India. India should indeed show where the cabinet should stand and that it does not tolerate any violations from Pakistan. So this can hindunationalisterna exploit in the election campaign, ” says Sten Widmalm.
Mike Pompeo has called on both countries to refrain from responding to each other’s military intrusion. Sten Widmalm believe that a clear intervention from the united states and China, which made significant investments in Pakistan in connection with the new silk road, is necessary to calm down the lawsuits.
China and the US need to converse with each other and together to go in and put your foot down. China can set the ultimatum on Pakistan by threatening to set loans and the bets on the new silk road in the country. The united states can say to India is that if they continue with gränsöverträdelser to take up arms exports to the country.
the Conflict over Kashmir goes back to 1947 when India, in the context of independence from the united kingdom was divided. The origins of the recent increase in tensions came on February 14, when 40 indian military police were killed in a terrorist attack in Kashmir.
The escalation of the conflict has got Pakistan to suspend all civil aviation, also in northern India has several airports have been closed. At the same time prompted people living in border areas to leave their homes.