The Taliban clearly see a historic opportunity. Different is difficult to explain that a man who is in the Afghan Islamists guerrilla as a mythical figure, has now come to Qatar to negotiate with the Americans over the future of the country at the Hindu Kush. Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, the beginning of 50, black beard, is considered one of the founders of the Taliban and their military was in charge. A Veteran with plenty of blood on their hands, but he is also supposed to be reasonably pragmatic. From the point of view of the Islamists Baradar is the political heavy-weight, able to close with the chief US negotiator, Zalmay Khalilzad, an agreement. It could be for the Taliban to be a resounding success.
Donald Trump wants to remove American troops as soon as possible from Afghanistan. He brings the members of the government in Kabul, possibly in danger of their lives, seems to be the US President to be less important. Neither the Afghan head of state, Ashraf Ghani, one of his Ministers taking part in the talks in Qatar’s capital, Doha. The Taliban do not want to talk to the “puppet regime”, as you call it, Ghani’s government.
Trump can be allies on the outside
But Trump wants to get some with the Islamists in order to fulfill his campaign promises, US soldiers home. Therefore, he allows his ally. The most important Afghan at the negotiating table is not Ghani, or a representative, but Mullah Baradar. Were it not for the conversations, he would be for the Americans, a Terrorist.
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Baradar want to listen to the United States that the Taliban will not use the withdrawal of American soldiers, to turn Afghanistan back into a large terrorist camp. In order for an attack like the one of Al-Qaeda on September 11. September 2001 are not repeated. Possible that Baradar is a commitment. That the Taliban stick to it, probably less. The Alliance with Al-Qaeda seems to be stable.
the question remains Open of whether the US can achieve that the Taliban agree to talk at some point but with the government in Kabul. Instead of trying to a departure of the US troops to win the civil war.
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Unclear is the role also of Pakistan. The secret service, the ISI had arrested Baradar in 2010, in custody and released him in 2018. Allegedly, at the request of U.S. negotiators Khalilzad, seems to want to talk with a man who has with the Taliban about authority. With Baradar is expected to also sit the ISI at the table. The Afghan government is very Worried.
