at least It would be symbolic of a debacle for the SP, it would lose its Position as the second strongest party. Just the threat, but now, if you believe the published yesterday-election survey by the SRG . Eight months before the Federal elections, the social Democrats reach a vote share of 17.4 per cent. This would correspond to 2015 with a reduction of 1.4 percentage points.

The FDP can increase contrast by one percentage point and falls into the water at 17.4 percent. In view of the reported range of Error of 1.5 percentage points is, therefore, conceivable that the liberals overtaken by the SP.

From an “alarm signal at the right time,” said Nadine, mass Hardt, Bernese national councillor and campaign Manager of the SP Switzerland. You need to warn “still more clearly the consequences if the FDP would be the second strongest party.” With the two bourgeois parties at the top, mass Hardt, threatened to “blockages in many areas”, such as the climate problem.

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on The question of why and where the SP-voters are gone, the supplies, the survey also points of reference. Would be elected today, would be Green and green-liberal with a gain of 2.4, respectively, 1.8 percent, the big winner, points. Climate policy is “currently all the rage,” says Nadine, mass Hardt. “There are those parties, the “lead green” in the name of profit.” For your party you will take to deliver on the climate issue, solutions are just as important as “outrage”.

The feeling, to provide the main share of the environmental policy to the bone, while the “outraged” Green benefited thanks to your Name unbotmässig, is widely used in the SP. The seems to be in conversation with the social Democrats quickly – where you shy away from alienating the left’s Alliance partner in public. SP-campaign boss, mass Hardt points out, the strengthening of the left of the camp was “as a Whole is certainly pleasing”.

the SVP loses

The second main loser next to the SP and the SVP. You will be left with 27 per cent, while the strongest party. Compared to 2015, you will not only lose but 2.4 percentage points – significantly more than the FDP gains. Political scientist Michael Hermann, the research Institute of Sotomo conducted the survey in the SRG-order, explains the decrease with the topics of economy. The SVP-immigration people are employed today than four years ago. In addition to climate change, especially the health insurance premiums and the relations with the EU, the maneuvering on the worry barometer above it, according to the study.

The much-maligned premium load could also explain why the CVP is able to put the brakes on its slowdown, according to the current findings. The party wishing to proceed with a people’s initiative against the rising premiums, loses in the survey, only minim. Conversely, the SP, which launched a rewards initiative benefits not, until now, apparently. To impact against the internal party Europe, political discord might be in. The trade Union wing of the heated opposition to the framework agreement with the EU could be enthusiastic internationalists, the green-liberal drift.

Good “product” FDP

Meanwhile, seems to want to the 2015 continuing wave of success of the FDP does not abate. Although the intra-free intimate turmoil, the President of Petra Gössi triggered last week with their Eco-Offensive, in the survey, not yet mirrored. The Deputy Secretary-General Matthias Leitner however, this causes no grief. The environmental issue, although the “DNA belonging to party”, the liberal-minded core electorate, not Central. The FDP is at the Moment simply a “total product that runs well,” says Leitner. “People see that we have done some solid work on the whole legislature. And the mood is much better than even a few years ago. It is once again proud to be involved for the FDP.”

A reliable indicator for the state of the parties will get at the end of March. In the cantons of Zurich, Lucerne and Basel-Landschaft is then chosen.

(editing Tamedia)

Created: 22.02.2019, 06:27 PM