“Expert: IS has both the ideology and the knowledge remains.”
“IS territory in Syria may be lost, but both the ideology and stridserfarenheter is left. Now, ICE can regroup, and go into the sleeping cells to reappear again in other forms, according to Mellanösternexperten.”
“the Loss of ICE-the territory of eastern Syria, probably means not the end of the ICE in the region, think Bitte Hammargren, Mellanösternexpert at the Swedish Defence research agency, FOI.”
“– They have lost the last territorial control, but it does not mean that they are wiped out, ” she says.”
“She sees it as likely that the ICE is now entering a new location.”
“– the Ideology is still there, and the knowledge and stridsvanan. They regroup, shave of skäggen, hiding the weapons and goes into the sleeping cells.”
“IS consists of people with great stridsvana, and it is not just adult men.”
“– the Question is what happens with the ICE-krigarnas children, with the next generation and how it will be when the ICE regroup while the ideology lives on.”
“a Foothold in other regions”
” the Caliphate still has leaders, combatants, and support from sympathizers and resources. He has previously estimated that tens of thousands of ICE have gone into the sleeping cells in Syria and Iraq.”
“But the ICE has even reached outside of Syria and Iraq,” she says.”
“– They have also gained a foothold in other regions, as in north Africa and the Sahel. They have their breeding ground in the war, chaos and failed states, where they are trying to pull the switches on sunnibefolkningens dissatisfaction.”
“Also reported the kurdish militia YPG have prisoners of war from the ICE,” she says.”
“– the united states is about to abandon them now, but the YPG has around 2 700 prisoners of war from the ICE, men, women and 1,200 children. The question is also what will happen with them, ” says Bitte Hammargren.”
“the Conflict in Syria broke out in march 2011 after the so-called arab spring, when several governments in the region challenged by demonstrations and rebellious moods. The syrian opposition claimed president Bashar al-Assad’s departure and in the current situation, democratic reforms, but the resistance were cut partly by other interests.”
“the War brought in the day in the practice of regional great powers, by proxy. Bashar al-Assad’s government forces have with Russia, Iran and the lebanese Hizbollahmilisens support forced the rebels and jihadistgrupper from a series of strongholds in the country.”
“Often the regime’s takeover was preceded by long sieges and comprehensive bombing raid, with large civilian casualties as a result. In many cases, negotiations have been held with the rebels, who had to choose between that bussed in the way to the other rebellhållna areas or to remain under the regime’s rule. Mediation has often been handled by Russia, but the counterparty has not in practice had any major options other than to give up or give in.”
“In north and northeast Syria to check the kurdish forces large areas, but there are also Turkietallierade rebel forces. Turkey has carried out luftanfall against kurdish positions in the area and has plans to ”
“Sources: institute of Foreign affairs, AFP, Reuters”
