“Only they know what’s happening with the brexit”

“We will not crash out of the EU without an agreement,” said Matthew Shaddick”

“LONDON. We have not a clue, is now the experts ‘ answers regarding what’s going on with brexit. So chaotic is the situation.”

“But there are some that know and I have met one of them.n”

“I get to sit and wait for a moment in the white leather seating area in the entrance in Straford, east London, before Matthew Shaddick will come and get me and take me through the säkerhetsspärren. The wind blows cold through the svängdörrarna out to the street.”

“When we stepped out of the elevator on floor seven, we are faced with something that looks like a command center. A kontorshav where mostly young men sit tight in the long rows of white desks, often with 3-4 monitors in front of him. It could be a handelsgolv on the stock exchange but it is not.nthese men are working with the betting. On dozens of tv screens rolls harness and oddslistor forward.”

“Matthew Shaddicks area of expertise is betting on the policy. When opinionsinstituten had substantial errors before the british elections in 2015, as tipped vadslagningsfirmorna correct that the conservative party would take home the victory.”

“– the Interest to play at political events is growing all the time, ” Shaddick after we moved into a private room with two leather armchairs and great views of a grey London.”

“the Dream of his employers Ladbrokes-Coral would be that it became a second referendum on the brexit.”

“– Then we would be guaranteed to put penningrekord. Before brexitomröstningen 2016 wagered players are 60 million of us. In the whole country, it was maybe about 600 million.”

“But if we are to believe the players so has the likelihood of a second referendum has decreased in the last month. The odds have gone up.”

“It might sound strange to turn to a spelfirma to get answers about how it will be with the brexit, but the fact is that there almost is no other. Most economic and political experts in the Uk who may issue, also in Europe, beating helplessly out with her hands and says they don’t have a clue. “

“Opinionsinstituten has been difficult to measure because there are so many possible options left. In addition, their reputation is not the best since they are predicted to remain side could win brexitomröstningen.”

“the Tours have been so many and all options are still on the table despite the fact that there only remains two months for Britain to leave the EUROPEAN union at midnight on 29 march. In the parliament, which must approve how the brexit should go to, is a kind of war of all against all. The two major parties is not only disagree, but also fragmented within itself. It is such an unlikely move that even the experts are scratching their heads to try to understand what’s going on.”

“But not Matthew Shaddick. Based on the games he gets in, he lets the right cocksure when he sketches the near future.”

“– the Uk will not leave the EU on 29 march. The Deadline will be postponed. The parliament will agree to any form of brexit-deal, but that it will be either new elections or a referendum.”

“He cranks around a few laps with their glasses in the air before he states something that should reassure both the british and all the EU countries.”

” We will not crash out of the EU without an agreement.”

“Better than opinion polls”

“But the analysis is based on the situation right now. A lot can be changed after the 29th of January, when parliament will vote on the way forward brexit should take.”

“If you compare it with before christmas, two significant changes occurred in the players’ pattern.”

“the Probability of an early election has increased while the chansenu002Frisken, depending on how you see it, for a second referendum reduced. Nevertheless, it is double as large as in summer, 33 percent.”

“It is only a 25 percent chance that the country will leave the EU at the end of march.”

“Can you trust that the players will tip right?”

“They were, as I said in the 2015 elections and missed the brexit with less than opinionsinstituten.”

“– Those who play politics are more savvy than the man on the street, ” says Shaddick. But they also go very much on gut feeling. Therefore, it is the odds change all the time.”