When it comes to warding off revolutions, is the English complacent. It has not fought a battle between the English armies on british soil since 1688. Konvulsiviska tremors that democracy’s arrival in the 1800s were met with peaceful means. And with the independence of the greater part of Ireland was managed so that almost all the bloodshed took place abroad. But what happens when a revolution is actually needed?
Nothing less than a political revolution can save us from Brexits paralyzing grip. But if it happens it will divide both parties, and therefore they have resolved to not let it happen. Now, the question is instead which one of them will crack first under the attempt to represent two totally incompatible approaches to Brexit.
The major dividing line in politics today is not between parties but within them. Although the proportions differ between the parties is both Labour and Tory hopelessly divided over the issue of europe. Today would have none of them, with honor intact, able to meet voters with a platform that expressed a clear position on Brexit.
in the conservative case because the government can not avoid putting forward concrete proposals. But the conservative party holds not only the government in the Uk. It is also the most dangerous flank of the opposition. Two-thirds of the conservatives voted against their own government Brexit plans, along with the eight representatives of the DUP, whose support the government rests on.
In the normal, non-revolutionary times, it would mean that the Labour party’s policies was preferred, but Labour lacks policy Advisers. The fact is that it has something worse than no policy at all: it has too much. All of these approaches are incompatible with each other. They have committed themselves to respecting the outcome of the referendum, but only under conditions where all the benefits of stopping remain, which means to remain in Europe. 80 per cent of the party’s members want to be left behind, but its core areas are full of leave-voters, several of the members who represent these constituencies, and is included in the skuggregeringen is reported to have threatened to resign if the party abandons the Brexit. During all of this bubbling issue of migration which created a deep division in the party.
Something must give way.
the party to Which will explode first?
a loss would probably mean the end for the Labour party. Currently, it is the only hope to get rid of the Tories that keeps the party together.
Like many other european parties on the left, it is divided between an urban middle class and a rural former working class: between globalization winners and losers. No Brexitpolitik can satisfy both, but both are full of hate the Tories.
Yet it is difficult to see how one would ever be able to win an election. Corbyn is hugely unpopular outside the party. The latest väljarundersökningen shows that only 20 percent of voters believe that he would be the best prime minister. It puts him far behind both Theresa May, who still, after all their mistakes, has 36 per cent – and the voters ‘ first choice, do Not Know, with 41 per cent.
would be the death knell for the Labour party, can the avoidance of a divide the conservative party. Where is the crack between the nationalists and businessmen, between the ideologues and the pragmatists, now total. None of them can either vote for the other Advisers, or forgive them for it.
But they are each other’s prisoners, as in a terrible marriage.
parties are held together by forces that are rarely in the game in other places and definitely not in Sweden. Partistödet is minimal. It is entirely in the hands of their constituents and is squeezed out toward the extremes. The threshold is not a four per cent barrier, but by the system of large single-member constituencies and the notion that there are only two parties that count: the government and the official opposition.
This arrangement rewards, above all, a geographical concentration of support, which means that the difference between the number of votes and mandates often is absurd. In the last elections, conquered The Green 525.000 votes and a mandate, while the Democratic Unionists got 292.000 votes and trick the eight mandates, which allows that May may be left. Ukip, which has been the most influential british party in the last five years, have never had a single elected member of parliament (two drop-outs switched to the party after being elected for the conservatives).
a moment when this dysfunktionalitet, the system becomes overwhelming. The referendum marked the start of the crisis. The end is far from in sight. To leave the EU, with or without settlement, it is only the start of years and years of further complex negotiations and counter-offers. To remain after a second referendum would need to be accompanied, and legitimized in retrospect, a comprehensive reform of the electoral system. There is no majority for either, and not a glimpse of a leader somewhere who would be able to unite his party, let alone the country.
Trans. from English: Johan Hilton
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