the ROME – Between 2020 and 2022, there will be 23,000 of the potential candidates, residents, fellows, to the last years of the course (from the third to the fifth) to strengthen the national health Service. In addition, it is estimated that the number of over 65 specialists with an age below 70 years, which might be interested to remain voluntarily in the service of over 40 years of actual service in the three years 2020-2022, is on average equal to about 10,000 units. These are the forecasts of the ministry of Health, in relation to measures against the shortage of physicians provided for in the new Pact for health.

“Estimate how many will be doctors, nurses and the medical staff and administration that will come into service in the coming months is an exercise that can be influenced by many variables. First of all – explains the ministry in a note – the assumptions should be based on the demand and, it must be emphasized, remains to every single Region to identify the relative covers economic and related expenditure. The Regions do not have access to, as erroneously speculated by some news organization, only the funds corresponding to the incremental coordinate on the national health Fund, which passes from 5% to 10%, (with the possibility, in the cases specified get up to 15%). Will, then, hire staff (with competitions, scrolling of lists and the stabilization of precarious workers), according to the resources available until you get to those limits of expenditure indicated by the new rules”.

with Regard to the number of specialists with a length of service of the actual superior at 40 years and an age less than 70 years, “you can only proceed to an estimate made on the basis of the data available on the Annual accounts, Igop, data source Enpam and on the basis of a set of assumptions about the age of entry into the Nhs and on the redemption of years of graduation and specialization. All this said, it is estimated – says the ministry – that the audience of interested stakeholders, i.e. specialists with the age of 70 years, which might be interested to remain voluntarily in the service of over 40 years of actual service in the three years 2020-2022, is on average equal to about 10,000 units”.

with regard To the students enrolled in the third, fourth and fifth year of the course of post-graduate schools of 4 and 5 years, “taking account of the special training contracts funded, it is estimated that in 2020 there are about 11.600 and in 2021, about 13,000”.

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