European leaders now hover around a French president Emmanuel Macron wants to, that western Europe is again to be on good terms with Russia with. His secretary was used to this attitude change the term to reset (switch to another service), restart.
the Term created a Barack Obama administration, and held up to look like an opportunity, where the foreign ministers of the Sergei Lavrov and Hillary Clinton press the bad relations reset for the reset button.
did Not succeed then. And it’s not.
the Current security crisis in the background is of course many things, but the focus is on russia’s actions. It seeks by any means necessary (switch to another service)
will again feared and respected world power. A similar unscrupulous means Vladimir Putin to consolidate his own power in Russia.
president Sauli Niinistö recently spoke to (you move to another service) geopolitical power triangle, which largely determines the world politics events. Giant the Us and China alongside Niinistö raised now compared with the many ways a little Russian, which he said ”militarily and politically” withdrew himself in that position. This is reflected in a concentrated manner, when the president of Donald Trump downright put out by the Kremlin colleague on a silver platter leadership role in the Middle east. The complexity of the situation that this put out of the event by giving Russia closer to the previous Nato-country Turkey authorisation to attack Us allies attacked Syria.
Russian border flanked by a set of frozen, and also to hot conflicts.
Russia has historically been, and still wants to be the empire (you move to another service). The empire did not perceive themselves to fixed limits with as a nation-state, but it taantuessaan is reduced and gains strength expands. Today, the expansion is, fortunately, more interest groups and empowerment. But still, no coincidence that the Russian border flanked by a set of frozen, and also to hot conflicts.
Russia works mainly by reacting oncoming things and using the advantage of unfolding situations. This approach describes a very prestigious in Russia-investigator Mark Galeottin report. The Russian foreign ministry, working for the interviewee had said (you move to another service), mr galeote quecedo, for the Russian action objectives: “Pointedly said, we are trying to stop you from stopping us.”
Russia wants to get for himself the greatest possible leeway, where it gets wish with impunity break the rules. This is how it is done. The Russian conquest of the Crimea and war in Ukraine. It interfere in elections in different countries (you move to another service) and the funding of various extremists
in particular, EU countries extreme right-wing parties. In addition, the Russian military intelligence is connected to the various west transactions, murders and attempted murders.
Peace during a political war is the Russian point of view the normal situation. Just the same way many great western works of the western world on the outside. Is it any wonder that the west’s reactions is considered in Russia as hypocrites. (you move to another service)
the Existing edge conditions in which the west and Russia to deep cooperation may not come true.
the president of Macron seeks peace, which the EU and Russia could combine their efforts in order to succeed not only in China, also allies loitontuvan for the united states. Such cooperation will create more resources for innovation, natural resources and pääomineen were coupled with a significant change in world politics. This attractive pictures has great wave of the european leaders in front of the eyes. After all, they want passionately to financial success. This pattern belongs to some level also to Russia’s favorite Macronin the decision to block the EU membership negotiations in Northern Macedonia and with Albania.
Current preconditions the west and Russia to deep cooperation may not come true. Either the west is corrupted by a or Russian democratise the deep cooperation possible. Cooperation would require investment. Their safeguarding Russia needs the rule of law. It would take putin from the essential power tools korruptioineen, vaalivilppeineen and show trials and all.
Superficial agreement only encourage russia to cooperate in the future aggressively.
Macronin the project may, however, in the short term can produce positive results. Perhaps the war in Ukraine to an end or subside to. But in the longer term, superficial agreement only encourage russia to cooperate in the future aggressively.
Sovunhieronta can also break up the western front, as the situation is seen very differently in different EU countries. Moderate known the president of Estonia Kersti Kaljulaid warned in an interview (you move to another service), that is not only suitable, therefore, that for a change to happen something positive. Kaljulaid was afraid, that Russia will give up very little and the west actually very much. This was already a practical example, when Russia got totally free of charge back to full participation rights in council of Europe activities. Putin seemed a long time to be in dire straits, but lately, the Kremlin has been reason to smile, perhaps even laugh.
the Current confrontation between the west and Russia is not losing anything. Channels must be kept open and conversations in the corridor. Is to find those little things to help keep in touch and confidence above some level. But Macronin wanted to make a real and deep peace does not seem to be yet available and therefore its pursuit is likely to only worsen the situation.
Janne “Rysky” Riihelä
the author is joensuu’s blogger, who is active in security policy discussions. Riihelä is a free action, which is not tied to any position, organization or idea of direction.
See more:
Russia scholar Mark Galeottin lecture (you move to another service) (in English)
Erkka Mikkonen: the Russian makes the Russian love of hard
Rysky riihelä-based column: Moscow arrives at Brussels and other messages to the Kremlin
the Column to discuss 29.10. at 16:00 until
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