Though as the aim, the greenhouse emissions are clearly growing in the world.

the Key energy agency IEA new reviews (you move to another service) according to the world energy needs continue to increase up to 2040. Energy growth momentum is weakening, but according to the organization, especially in developing countries, electricity demand will add further demand.

the IEA estimates that the decisions already taken and the global countries commitments to the upcoming decisions are the growing demand due to enough fact that greenhouse gases get turned to decline. Instead, emissions continue to increase up to 2040.

the Increase means about a three-degree average temperature rise in the world. For example, in Finland the same means, possibly 4-6 degrees.

the Organization also evaluates what countries is required, so that energy use can be translated to the Paris climate pact to less than 2 degree path. A key factor in the change is that asia’s relatively new coal-fired power stations have to introduce the means by which carbon dioxide can be recovered from the factory and stored.

the Worst polluter the contribution will not increase, but the emissions are still big

the IEA predicts that coal’s share of all new energy production shall no longer multiply in the coming years.

the Change does not mean that coal was no longer needed more. Gas is rising coal over the most important energy source. In addition to the new power structure in other ways so much more, that the coal share will drop the world’s energy mix.

Share despite the decline in the already built and planned coal power plants emissions are blocking it, that greenhouse gas emissions growth will not be a decline before the year 2040.

the IEA estimates, in Asia, mainly in China, coal-fired power plants, the average age is a little over ten years. They can be used even for decades. Also in India, coal is needed more.

coal emissions are currently more than 40% of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions and energy production the most significant emission source.

Half of the new energy renewable

the emerging countries in briskly growing markets need organization estimates that the current level of around a quarter more energy by 2040.

Half of the energy necessary for the growth can be according to the IEA covers renewable, like the sun, and mood. Natural gas in addition to oil usage still continued to grow. With regard to oil, the turnaround was happening mainly in transport electrification through most of these by 2025.

the share of renewable energy is emphasized, the closer you get to the Paris agreements reached. Industrialised countries under the organisation’s leading expert Laura Cozzin according to the solar power should become more common a lot more, so it allows to reach also the Paris goal.

renewable growth in addition to coal, the share should according to the organization, fell by 2040 ten per cent of total demand, so that Paris clearly below the two degree goal is achieved. The existing decisions and commitments, the share fell to around 20% of energy use. The difference between the IEA models is really big, i.e. almost 60%.

the Organization pointed out that the oil consumption of the reversal of the decline has caught up also, about how much so-called suvs, sales growth in the coming years. Standard of living the rise of the popular come to a big combustion ainesyöpöt car may even increase the demand for oil.

carbon dioxide emissions are increasing as a whole following of over 20 years, about 100 million tonnes per year. Finland’s annual emissions are about 50 million tons of carbon dioxide as amended.

according to the IEA, the Paris climate target can also require that coal-fired power stations have to close to ten years before their service life in accordance with the resolution. The need to answer the whole of China the size of the current coal power capacity.

All the IEA provide the means to reduce carbon emissions are expensive or their implementation is not yet competitive technology.

the Organization regards as key to cutting emissions as a means of energy use rapid intensification at a time when energy demand continues to grow, living standards rise in developing countries. The IEA is at the same time worried that the energy I waste prevention is not nearly at that speed, what the objectives require.

energy efficiency should improve broadly, so that emissions can be cut as quickly as possible.

the IEA estimates that by 2050 emissions should decrease from the 2010 level of 68%. This would be enough for the organization to reach Paris in accordance with the contract less than two degrees of warming to the level of the end of the century.

the International panel on climate change IPCC about a year ago to 1.5 degrees, according to the report, emissions should be reduced sinks into account to zero already by 2050. The IPCC’s calculations, all emissions should be almost halved by 2030 from the 2010 level.

the IEA made by long-time estimates have been criticised that they have underestimated how quickly the renewable energy production has become more affordable and thereby generalized. The IEA stresses that they do not make predictions, but the size of the assessment countries of the world information and market situation.

see also:

the climate target run away like a coal in the sky in India – Concerned about energy professor: Change in turn is needed to brand new gear and soon

the Human race will solve years – filed a report: Global warming can be limited to 1.5 degrees celsius, if emissions are reset at record speed

Subscribe Yle newsletters!

Proceed to order

GERELATEERDE ARTIKELENMEER VAN DEZE AUTEUR