according to Statistics finland’s eight in the morning published by the latest population projection until 2040 confirms the dark fear of fertility trends in Finland the next few decades.

I was Afraid of pretty evil and grim prognosis. But yes, it was time to freezing, that the future of say the figures were still much darker, what part was even thought of, the comments area researcher Timo Aro the forecast figures for the Yle morning tv interview while still fresh.

our Country population leaves the current developments in the decline in 2031.In 2035, the population would grow longer in uusimaa, Pirkanmaa and in the Åland islands.The forecast assumes that the Usa get migration gain from overseas of 15, 000 persons each year.

according to Statistics finland’s latest population forecast of statistics Finland, not in 15 years, are no longer any provinces, where more people than will die if the birth rate stays now at the level found.

in our Country, the population of the current developments in the decline in 2031. In 2050 the population would be about 100 000 smaller than the current one.

according to Statistics finland, Harri little fabric / Yle

– After all, it marked a turning point in our country’s history that the population will begin to decline, Rapo said.

In 2018, the population increased in the four provinces and the Åland islands. According to the forecast of year 2035 population growth should no longer be a new earth and Pirkanmaa as well as the Åland islands. In 2040, the population would grow in Mainland Finland no new land in the province and there migration gain thanks.

the Decline had already everyday life

the Morning tv also interviewed of Statistics senior statistician Markus Rapo reminded, that the population decline has been in many places in daily life for a long time.

– the Change has already happened. We have provinces in which the population has been declining for 19 years in a row every single year. On the other hand, we have a population growth of only around 60 municipalities. Now looks like, but that’s still less areas of population growth. Fertility decline appears in this big role, Rapo said.

Rapo mentioned as examples of South-Savo and Kainuu. As new rogues are on the rise Kymenlaakso and Satakunta.

– Provinces, where the age structure is such that until now there are people dead, more than born.

In 2018, Finland had 60 municipalities, of which was born more people than died. According to the forecast of the 2030 committee, which was born more people than die, would be 35 and in 2040 no longer 12.

– the Winning number has been all the time a few more and they can be found in about 50 municipalities. Growth in the municipalities is mainly located in the high school in the city of near or the surrounding area, Aro’s assessment.

according to Statistics finland’s most recent population projections assume that fertility rates would remain constant in the future. Children would be born annually in 43 000-45 000 years 2020-2040 period. Yet in 2010, born in Finland 60 000 children and the figure was the same class before.

Regional researcher Timo Aro and of statistics senior statistician Markus Rapo commented on the population forecast for Monday Yle morning-tv.Just a few of the children

by locality of view, it would seem that, especially in a small town have children born in the future only a few years. Rapon, it brings challenges to the municipal service network.

at Some point come to the point where the challenges are very large in health care, education, network, care of the elderly, Rapo estimates.

for Example, Luhankaan was born according to the forecast this year, only two babies, although the municipality has promised to pay eur 10 000 baby bounty each on the birth of a child. According to the forecast of the children born Luhankaan only two also 2040.

Baby winners are Helsinki, Tampere and Turku. According to the forecast of their birth to more children in 2040 than now.

Deferred income women lifetime, generated by the number of children, i.e. the total fertility rate is assumed to be of 1.35.

according to Statistics finland, the default is violent, but it reflects the moment of birth level. The preliminary statistics on the basis of the total fertility is projected to be in 2019 in Finland 1,32–1,34.

the Forecast assumes that the Usa get migration gain from overseas of 15, 000 persons each year.

Less than 15 years, the number drops to

in the Year 2019 according to a forecast of less than 15 years, the number of drops to clear previously predicted. Now published according to estimates by less than 15 in the year 2040 would be 688 000, which is 178 000 less than the 2015 forecast.

according to Statistics finland, Harri little fabric / Yle

the Working age (15-64 years) population in Finland was at its highest in 2009, when they had to 3.55 million people. In the 2010-2018 period the working age population has decreased by 122 000.

by 2040, the working age population is projected to decrease more slowly, i.e. 111 000 persons.

the Working-age population decline accelerated birth rate decline due 2040-ies.

in the 2041-2050 period, working age population would be reduced to 132 000 people, and 2051-2060 further 163 000 persons.

In 2060 at the end of the working-age population would amount to 3.19 million people, which is over 400 000 people less.

How to prevent the population of Finland in reverse? You can discuss the subject today at 22 until.

Corrected at 11: 32: Modified Population will begin to decline -graphics label text facing the correct way: the red curve represents the birth of the transformation and the blue of the dead change.

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