For weeks, the Parliament of Westminster, stood in the centre of the political debate in the UK and far beyond. On Wednesday, however, the neo-Gothic Palace is shrunk on the river Thames on the conference room 14. There, the fate of the Prime Minister, decided in the evening in an election process: Theresa May won the vote of no-confidence in the conservative group, 200:117 votes. However, the 62-Year-old explained to the Prime Minister on-call: you are not going to lead their party in the next lower house election.
How did the motion of censure, and why now?
The Brexit-Ultras drums for months against the Prime Minister, which they consider too soft. Instead, people like Ex-environment Minister Owen Paterson or the head of the European research group (ERG) camouflaged by a hard-line Lobby, Jacob Rees-Mogg, the Chaos-Brexit, without the termination agreement are in favour of. Rees-Mogg and his followers called on in November to the coup failed but miserably.
The postponement of the parliamentary vote on the package of leaving the EU Treaty and the political Declaration, the had is the head of government at the end of November, with the 27 EU partners, offered the hard-liners now new occasion. At least 48 members declared the Prime Minister, in writing, their mistrust in letters to Graham Brady. The 51-Year-old has served as head of the 1922 Committee, a representation of the interests of the Tory backbenchers.
At the Urging of Jan Brady decided to rapid procedure: By WhatsApp message he gave on Wednesday around 7.30 am, before the Opening of the London stock exchange, all the group members know. The vote of confidence went in the evening between 18 and 20 o’clock local time on the stage, the result came an hour later. The Brexiteers are upset about the flash choice. Because Brady was robbed of the acceleration of the procedure, the Chance on the third weekend of advent to build up pressure.
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How Mays majority?
On Wednesday afternoon, had a BBC-counting, already more than 180 members of the Head of the Allegiance. Connoisseurs of the Tory party warned but to be cautious about Public statements should not be equated with the secret, made a cross on the ballot paper.
On paper required May only the simple majority, 159 of 317 voting Tory mandate holders. But more than a third of the group, the Boss refused allegiance, represents a heavy burden.
After the failed vote of no confidence may not be challenged for a year. In the case of a defeat you would be party and government boss on-demand, namely, up to the choice of a successor, or of a successor by the conservative party of the people.
As a leading Conservative position?
There are reports that May has not only the intention, before the election, in 2022, to withdraw, but already after a Brexit on the 29. March 2019.
As the Minister of justice, the Department heads of the Outer (Jeremy Hunt) and the Inner (Sajid Javid) to the Head of loyalty – both of which promised to apply as a candidate for may’s successor, which is why you have lately, by the predominantly anti-EU party people pandering.
The best prospects as a future successor to those who had not advertised how to Hunt and Javid in the Referendum in 2016 for the EU’s whereabouts but would have. The most promising contenders are Ex-foreign Minister, Boris Johnson, as well as the two Ex-Brexitressortchefs David Davis and Dominic Raab are, therefore; of Davis is rumored that he wanted to move in favour of his Protégés Raab. Johnson has recently lost weight last week by the lower house-a hair tuft of the normally strubbligen blonde a little more streamlined. “The wind from the back for Boris”, has registered his biographer, Andrew Gimson to the start of the week.
Michael Gove, one of the most prominent Brexit-a champion, to support the promised May: “It would be wrong to install this time, a new Prime Minister.” The phrase “at this time” was agreed with Downing Street. Whether May has handed in a small circle, in fact, a promise of office according to the scheduled withdrawal date at the end of March? Anyway, Goves Statement should convince those reluctant group of colleagues, who have, like Nadine Dorries, the nightmare, Jan will lead the party in the next election campaign. The not, wanted to keep many of those the the advent coup was completely unnecessary.
Will be able to fix May’s the Deal?
Although Theresa May spoke after talks with Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker and European Council chief Donald Tusk of “progress” in the issue of the standard solution for Northern Ireland, the so-called backstop. Mind some doubts, but already on Wednesday. At the exit of the contract will be changed to “nothing”, it was said in unison from the EU side.
How it goes with the Brexit?
In the house of Commons the Prime Minister spoke on Wednesday of a week-long succession battle would have overturned the parliamentary timetable. This looks at the latest until 21. January, the time suspended the vote on the withdrawal agreement. Your successor, or your successor, warned in May that would expose “in any case, article 50, or cancel” – the Brexit would be moved at least. You want the really, was the unspoken question at the Brexiteers?
Would have been a a Hardliner, would have increased the chances of a chaotic exit without connection agreement abruptly. However, the choice of a candidate like Boris Johnson would also strengthen the resolve of all those who want to make by means of a second referendum, Brexit undo. For this a parliamentary decision would be needed; the appropriate majority is not currently in sight.
How to do it for May?
The 62-Year-old has protested a few days ago, she would have “definitely”, even after Christmas is a Job. That’s true actually, because the member of Parliament for the constituency of Maidenhead, West of London would have remained May also, in the case of power loss. Now that you have the group of colleagues that trust you are well soon, a new distrust of the shaft. Apparently, the Labour Opposition wants to bring before the parliamentary Christmas vacation, a corresponding vote against the conservative government in the house of Commons. Whether you will be successful is questionable. All intra-party opponents Mays, as well as the Northern Irish DUP have declared, in such a case May assist. A Corbyn-Government? Since the odious Theresa May is the hard-liners, however, still prefer.
