In China of the year, days of special importance, which is why it is not surprising that China’s state and party chief Xi Jinping on Wednesday, with a speech to the, as he sees it, “country people” turned in Taiwan. It should be a memory address, because it was exactly 40 years ago, the people’s Republic of China has sent the first message over the Taiwan Strait.

The current words scare you, however, many Taiwanese people are likely to dislike, maybe even. Because Xi Jinping threatens to disclose, to the “reunification” with the island, if necessary also with violence and force.

Although China is seeking a peaceful reunification, said Xi Jinping in the Great hall of the people in Beijing. But he also added: “We do not promise to renounce the use of violence and reserve the right to take all necessary funds.”

Chinese missiles are already aimed long in Taiwan

directed For many years, China has thousands of missiles on its East coast on Taiwan. The President of the dictatorship of the Communist party of China offered the democratic Taiwan a reunification according to the principle of “One country, two systems” principle, will be managed in accordance with the Hong Kong since 1997. The arrived in Taiwan. The Taiwanese President, Tsai Ing-wen rejected the proposal and tweeted: “I call on China to take bold steps in the direction of democracy, to understand the people of Taiwan truly.”

The two countries are separated since the end of the civil war in 1949, de facto. At that time, the national Chinese had fled under Chiang Kai-shek to the island in the East China sea. Since then, the sole ruling Communist party of China considers the island as a breakaway province, expressed in the One-China policy. Who takes up with China diplomatic relations must acknowledge this policy and at the same time, the diplomatic relations to Taiwan.

Only 17 States recognize Taiwan officially

Due to this policy, the island state will be dealt with on the global diplomatic stage as a pariah, only 17 States recognize Taiwan officially, which also demonstrates the growing political Power of China. This is also the reason why Beijing’s propaganda machinery recently, hotel chains and airlines are under pressure, if they were in their reservation systems of Taiwan as an independent country. Shifts so after Xis the violent closer to speech, the reunification of Taiwan? Could be. On the one hand, his words included the usual points of view of the people’s Republic.

“This is a message that has made China for the past 40 years,” says the Taiwan-expert Mareike Ohlberg from the China research Institute of Merics to the daily mirror. “The Statement is relatively mild, if one compares it with the other.” On the other hand, the parameters have changed. China is politically, militarily, and economically stronger. “The speech is threatening, because it increases the likelihood that there could be in the Background, a Timeline for reunification with Taiwan,” says Ohlberg.

The USA are a kind of economic and military protection

Moreover, China is already in an economic confrontation with the United States. The United States due to the Taiwan Relations Act, in the relations to Taiwan are written, a kind of economic and military protection. Whether you have a case, but would be under a President Donald Trump seriously ready to support the island actually is on a different paper. “Trump is not the most reliable of all the politicians,” says Ohlberg.

Taiwan had converged under President Ma Jing-jeou of the Kuomintang party to the mainland politically. Numerous political and economic agreements have been concluded over the Taiwan Strait. China is Taiwan’s largest trading partner, more than 30 percent of exports go there. Since Mas detachment 2014 by Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic progressive party to the agreement but on ice.

Taiwan’s President, Tsai Ing-wen responded in a press conference on the speech.Photo: Sam Yeh/AFP

The President has a much more critical rate against mainland China. Most recently, she called on China, the political reality of the Republic of China on Taiwan to be recognised. More but also not. “A formal Declaration of independence would be a reason for a military Intervention, which would risk a Taiwanese politician,” says Ohlberg. Moreover, Tsai is weakened after the defeat in the recent local elections, their positions as Chairman of the progress party, had to submit.

The response of Taiwan leader Tsai follows prompt

China has invoked with his proposal of the system of “One country, two systems” on the “consensus of 1992”, which was an unofficial, not written Agreement, some politicians from Taiwan and the people’s Republic. Therefore, both sides should acknowledge that there was “one China”, the political ideas about, however, are different.

Tsai said in its reply to Xi that “we have to accept the consensus of 1992”. Moreover, since the crushing of the umbrella Revolution in Hong Kong, the prospect of “one country, two systems” for democratically-minded Taiwanese little desirable.

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“This is a bad Timing of the Xi,” said Taiwan expert Ohlberg. In Hong Kong the country of China is fixed at present, in spite of this system, more and more political influence. The Situation in the Taiwan Strait appears to be even more complicated. “The Taiwan question is a massive Problem that will continue to exist,” explains Ohlberg. Xi Jinping said in his speech: “The country is growing strongly, the Nation is renewed and re-unification on both sides of the Taiwan Strait is the major Trend of history.” That sounds optimistic. Or threat, depending on which side of the Taiwan Strait you live.