The Newspaper turning to the right in Flanders, a jerk to the left in Wallonia: one week before the elections of may 26, it is painfully clear how difficult it can be to a coherent federal government. On the basis of The Large Survey of The Latest News, VTM Nieuws, RTL and Le Soir is both centrumrechts as links make or break.
“on the Right is cool”, said Flemish Interest president Tom Van Grieken Thursday night at a well-attended meeting in the Ghent’s student neighbourhood. And effective: no unexpected change seems to be the comeback of the extreme right the fact of may 26. It is striking that this is not entirely at the expense of N-VA. Who loses compared to 2014, although a small 4%, but the profit of the VB, to almost 9%. That suggests that N-VA are still voters continues to compete from Open Vld, which is by 11.2% to an all-time low drops. CD&V (17,1%) scrawls across the poll from February which is right, which is kind of surprising after the murder of Julie Of Espen and the debate about justice, the jurisdiction of Koen Geens. Probably benefit CD&V, so a ‘Crevits-effect’, though it seems to be the Flemish minister-president are not really in it for ‘holy Hilde. To Bart De Wever (or, who knows, Jan Jambon of the martyrs ‘ square to keep away, according to the latest poll, a coalition of four parties (CD&V), Green, Open Vld and sp.a) are necessary.
That is because Green the what fails. 12.1% of the ecologisten it is still better than in 2014, but it is not to 15.6% in February. To early, peak, seems to be the hard verdict. Count the score of Green, together with that of sp.a (11%) and PVDA (4,7%), and the left is today to 27.8% worth in Flanders. That is better than in 2014, but not by much (+2,4%). The right-wing block – Vlaams belang, N-VA, Open Vld – growing barely (+0,4%), but is more radical.
Small windfall
In French-speaking Belgium is the reverse to the corridor. For the Walloon government have PS (28,5%) and Ecolo (19,1%) almost no third-party partner needed, because they continue to both grow. Add the scores of PTB and Challenge, and six in ten of Walloons vote soon on the left. That MR (22,7%) again grapples, is just a small boost for prime minister Michel. In Brussels continue to be the liberals, after all, hang on 15,5%, behind PS (17,3%) and an unlikely and 22.9% for Ecolo. The conclusion is that Bart De Wever (N-VA) sometimes equal can get, with his theory of a quick government formation in the three states and then a stalemate at the federal level.
