In San Francisco, Europe is far away. So far, the question arises, what role can it play in world politics. On the West coast of the United States, many believe that America’s competition with China will determine the future. The scene of global power politics is shifting from the Atlantic to the Pacific.
So the time will travel to the “time”-Foundation and the German Historical Institute Washington, with the conference “Connections between the Pacific and the Atlantic world: past and present” to the memory of Helmut Schmidt shortly after his 100. Birthday have loaded to the University of California, Berkeley, for insightful thoughts experiment: What are the expectations of the Chancellor of the years 1974 to 1982 have been confirmed? To what extent did the story differently?
Helmut Schmidt’s power – and error
one of Schmidt’s accomplishments as a statesman, he realized the rise of China early and well accompanied. China was, for him, an old nation of culture. Long before Europe had invented printing technology and black powder, over the centuries, it was scientifically superior. Thanks to Schmidt’s to Advertise when the then Chancellor, Willy Brandt, the Federal Republic of Germany started in 1972, diplomatic relations, seven years before the United States.
Strategically Schmidt was right in several aspects, however, incorrectly analyzed long-time associates such as the former SPD Finance Minister, Manfred Lahnstein, and Peer Steinbrück, as well as Theo Sommer, former editor-in-chief of “time”. Schmidt believed that China is not pursuing military ambitions, and certainly not as a naval power. It wanted to learn from the West, but no technical dominance. Meanwhile, Beijing’s aircraft carrier groups in service, expanding coral reefs in the wider area to military bases, and has declared the global technology leader for the goal. Also, China’s human rights violations were added to other, interested Schmidt little.
Why is China more powerful, but Europe is not?
In the Cold war the world order was different than it is today. Today, three great powers, makes the economic potential for the world. The United States, China and the EU will produce the one-fifth of the world economy. Russia is not one of them, its social product is one seventh of it. Kristina Spohr, author of a book on the “Global Registrar”, raised the question of what Schmidt thought, if he powers of three of the world of the future? In his world of thoughts, China has emerged alongside the USA and Russia. He wished the strengthening of Europe trust the EU but is not a super role.
Why not? With China as a world power had to settle for the West, “whether we like it or not,” argued Eberhard sandschneider, China expert at the Free University of Berlin. Because “economic Power leads to political Power leads to military Power”. That sounds like a law of nature. If so, why not apply it to Europe?
On the EU, more expectations are directed, as the Europeans are aware of. Countries in the environment, perceive the rise of China as a threat, described the Vietnamese Do Thanh Hai, a lecturer at the Institute for security studies of the diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, and the Australian Anna Hayes, a China specialist at the University of Queensland. You don’t want to rely solely on the USA, certainly not Donald Trump. Beijing expands territorial waters to be unlawful, is in contempt of the judgments of the International Tribunal, rams ships of neighboring States, the running-in disputed waters. In the interior it takes tough action against dissidents and puts Muslim Uighurs in the prison camp.
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for Free order
defended The only Power to oppose successfully the free shipping and international air space, the United States. Vietnam, Australia and other residents would be happy if Europe is committed to the international order. The EU is willing – and able?
Disappointed expectations: Investment, cultural exchange, and Internet
As a sequence of frustrated expectations also American and Asian participants in the conference described the experience with China. Western firms had believed, China will open gradually, for the Western model and for the rule of law. The cultural exchange will help. Investment and little technology transfer to be a favorable price for the Opening of this huge market.
The have proven to be an Illusion, analyzed Vinod Aggarwal, a political scientist of Indian descent at the University of California, Berkeley. China took over Western capitalism, but has developed its own state-guided capitalism. Western Investment and its consequences such as the forced transfer of technology proved to be unexpectedly costly for Western corporations. The cultural exchange from the course so that criticism of China will be prevented in the Confucius institutes. The hoped-for democratisation through new technologies such as the Internet had not occurred. Rather, dictatorships, used the digital technique efficiently in order to limit information transfer and to put the company.
Bizarre appearance of a Chinese billionaire
The conference ended in bizarre. Ann Lee, a Chinese investment billionaire who should be talking about financial cooperation, took advantage of their stage instead for a propaganda speech: China is a great Power, the United States is an evil. The re-education camps for Uighurs served the peace; they were not given an education, so they become terrorists. Data theft is excluded in the case of Huawei. Public video surveillance will lead to a better society. The claims on territorial waters, which has rejected the International Tribunal, based on “historical Rights”, which would have recognized the United States in 1945.
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The Europeans responded in consternation. Participants from Asia reported that they experienced similar performances by the Chinese in their own countries on a regular basis. Who do like Ann Lee in China shops, get to feel, sooner or later, Beijing’s long Arm. And order to avoid the disadvantages.
