Nicolás Maduro device stronger by the day under pressure. In the fight for the Survival of the so-called Bolivarian Revolution, he applies the same strategy, attacking his Regime in the case of previous Large the Opposition has been saved: He indicates on the one hand, willingness to negotiate and reinforced on the other hand, the Repression. In an Interview with the Russian news Agency RIA Novosti has stated that Maduro is willing to hold early elections for the Parliament, to hold and to negotiate with the Opposition. The call for presidential elections, he rejects, however, continue to be – because this would be tantamount to admitting to be an illegitimate head of government.

His consent to legislative elections is worthless because the Opposition in the 167-member Asamblea Nacional on a two-thirds majority. And because Maduro has disempowered the Parliament, which at the Moment is the only democratically legitimised political Institution of the country, equal to two-fold way: he has granted to the conformist Supreme court of the statement, explain all of the parliamentary resolutions null and void. And he has set up a constituent Assembly in its place. The choice of mode of this panel was defined in such a way that the government necessarily had to gain a majority.

The Opposition to Juan Guaidó acting from a stronger Position than ever before.

In the past, Maduro has invited the Opposition several times to negotiations. It is succeeded in each case, up to now, in rival parties and groups splintered critics of the regime to play in addition to each other. The one wanted to engage in negotiations, hoping to prevent a civil war. The other considered it as a betrayal to put up with a dictator like Maduro at all. The Opposition lost in the eyes of the Public credibility, while Maduro won the time. After the Failure of the negotiation rounds, it has occurred to even more authoritative than before.

broad support from both home and abroad: Juan Guaidó, against players of Nicolás Maduro. Photo: Reuters

Obviously, Maduro is trying the same thing again. His chances to save himself and his Regime, once more, by a feigned willingness to negotiate, but this time significantly lower. Thanks to the wide international support and the enthusiasm that has sparked Juan Guaidó for a large part of the native population, acts the Opposition from a stronger Position than ever before. Whether this strength is not sufficient without the support of the military leadership to oust Maduro from Power, is doubtful. Guaidó can but hope that the high-ranking officers to turn away under the impression of international economic sanctions, and out of fear of losing their fat benefices, of Maduro. As long as he has the Wind at your back, there are Guaidó no reason to put up with a notorious wrong, players like Maduro to a table – unless, of course, this do far-reaching and irrevocable concessions. Nothing points to this at the moment.

The US government would tolerate the arrest of Juan Guaidó not.

belongs To Maduro’s crisis management, it is also the thumbscrews. Even so, he was always successful. Around 800 people have been arrested in the past days, 42 during demonstrations were killed. Yesterday, the Venezuelan Supreme court has decided that Juan Guaidó not allowed to leave the country, that his accounts are frozen and any property in his possession, seized. The opposition politicians will be able to get over these measures. He must, however, also fear to be arrested.

In the past, the Venezuelan Regime has arrested several opposition politicians, including the former mayor of Caracas, Antonio Ledezma. Or Leopoldo López, the President of the party Voluntad Popular, who is also a member Guaidó. The decisions of the Supreme court are threat and intimidation. In the case of an arrest, Guaidós Maduro would have to reckon, however, with a much more violent reaction of the international community, as was previously the case. The US government has already announced to tolerate the arrest of the Venezuelan opposition in no way.

(editing Tamedia)

Created: 30.01.2019, 13:22 PM