A hard tried Theresa May arrives on Thursday to a summit in Brussels, where she will seek concessions in the hope of being able to deliver on its promise to the british about an orderly removal with the EU.
She will meet the sympathy and understanding. But the EUROPEAN colleagues could not promise her what she needs. How can more EUROPEAN diplomacy, the expectations for the meeting summarized.
It has long been clear, that May not gather the necessary majority for the agreed divorce, which she at year and a half has negotiated with the EU.
It led to her on Monday postponed a scheduled vote on the agreement approval in the house of Commons in London. On Wednesday evening she was as the protagonist of a vote of distrust, which she survived.
And now Mays political goals, that she can stand in the forefront of the Uk leaving the EU with an agreement, so the kingdom to avoid a chaotic, animals and the abrupt divorce 29. march of next year.
if this Succeeds, she will give the baton before the next elections.
On May when so far, one can only guess at.
certain it is, that the other heads of state and government have clearly indicated that they do not have the mind to change in the udtrædelsesaftalen or the political declaration, which was endorsed at an EU summit 25. november.
Several EU diplomats up to the summit expressed that May in the best case, might get some extra words in writing that can emphasize it, as already stated in the skilsmissedokumenterne.
She will get no new documents with legal power, sounds it.
the Problem for May is the northern ireland backstop, if the goal is to prevent a proper border control between Ireland and northern Ireland, if, during a multi-year transition period have not reached an agreement on a permanent solution.
To avoid a “hard limit” has been an ultimate requirement from the republic of Ireland, which the european UNION fully supports, and which is also the british have been agreed.
But when the british, at the same time has refused to allow the kingdom to split by placing a UNION customs border in The Irish Sea, then, the EU has agreed a british idea, as the whole of the Uk – under the emergency plan – being in co-operation with the EU.
It is in the legally binding agreement on the nordic backstop, that has been by far the worst headache in the process.
the Other day resulted in the british government’s lawyer, that the british were likely to be stuck in this safety net indefinitely.
Therefore May desire an expiry date for the backstop. It will EU countries do not give her.
They point to, that May now come and ask for a new solution to the tariff system, which she herself has produced, wanted, and got.
on Thursday the EU leaders will listen to the May. They will reflect. And then they will give her an answer, which hardly helps her on toward the goal. You know it, but they will not reject her and appear as a bunch of no-hats.
