For the third time in less than four years time to draw the Spaniards coming Sunday to vote for the election of a new parliament. The chance that this will lead to a stable government, is small. Also in Spain, the political landscape fragmented, and the crisis around Catalonia provides for an auction to nationalism.
The time of two dominant parties that the paste swaying in Spain has been for several years past. The conservative right-wing people’s party, Partido Popular (PP) and the socialist workers party (PSOE saw their hegemony in the elections of the end of 2015, broken. The rechtsliberale Ciudadanos and the radical left-wing Podemos put itself on the political map, and the likelihood that there is now even a fifth player is added, is large.
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The extreme right-wing Vox was until a good year is still insignificant but is in the polls right now accounts for around 10 percent of the votes and about 30 seats in parliament. The party made in december last year, a landslide in the regional elections in Andalusia by almost 11 per cent of the votes to win. Vox delivers the meantime, gedoogsteun to a government of the PP and Ciudadanos. Andalusia gold as a socialist stronghold, but for the first time since Spain in 1978 a democracy, the PSOE is not in the government.
Observers closed Vox until recently, a role as a potential ‘kingmaker’ to a coalition of the PP, Ciudadanos and the extreme-right party in the saddle to lift, but as the cards are today, it is unlikely that the combination of the required 176 seats is to have a majority in the parliament. All are extremely right-wing voters are not always inclined to their preference in the polls to make known.
