May cancel the vote for the Brexit in the Parliament to prevent its fracasoLa European court ruling that the Uk may curb the Brexit so unilateralCrece the pressure on Theresa May to renegotiate the agreement of the Brexit

The decision of Theresa May to postpone the vote on the agreement of the Brexit, as well as the decision of the Court of Justice of the EU allow the Uk to stop their exit from the european bloc have altered this Monday, the script of the process launched by London in the wake of the referendum to 2016. What now? These are some keys to understand the maze of Brexit.

why the Uk intends to leave the EU?

June 23, 2016 the british took the decision, through a referendum to leave the European Union, which acceded in 1973 to what was then the European Economic Community. In that consultation were asked if they wanted to stay or leave the EU, and chose the latter option by about 52%, versus 48% of those who preferred to follow. Among the arguments that won the yes to Brexit were the cost to the country of belonging to the Union, the refusal to submit to the community legislation, the recovery of control of the borders, and the possibility that the country would negotiate its own trade agreements.

When do is expected to exit the Uk from the EU?

The withdrawal of Uk from the EU is planned for march 29, 2019, two years after the activation by this country of article 50 of the Eu Treaty, which regulates the exit of a member state. From that moment on, the EU treaties will no longer apply in the Uk. However, subsequently established a transitional period until 31 December 2020, in which London will be excluded from the decision making in the EU, for not being already a member of it, but will continue to have access to the single market and the customs union.

Can the Uk give back the Brexit?

This Monday the Court of Justice of the EU has ruled that the Uk can curb the Brexit unilaterally whenever you want while not exceeding the deadline of march 29, 2019. “When a member State has notified the European Council of its intention to withdraw from the European Union, as has been done by the United Kingdom, that member State may unilaterally repeal such a notification,” says the statement. Another question would be how they would meet then with the mandate of the british expressed in the referendum in 2016 or if there would be a new referendum.

what is the departure agreement with the EU?

After a long negotiation between the Uk and Brussels, both sides agreed last November to an agreement for the british exit from the EU. One of the key points is that it avoids physical barriers or border controls between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, which temporarily creates a single customs territory that would be part of the United Kingdom. The agreement includes the bill that the Uk must be paid to Brussels by the divorce, about 40,000 million euros.

At what point is the process?

Theresa May received the support of the members of his government to the agreement with Brussels, while, from the other hand, the eu (the EU members without the United Kingdom), was approved on 25 November last, and would have to give him the green light also the European Parliament, a procedure which, a priori, would exceed without problems. Missing, however, which the House of Commons of the british parliament give the go-ahead. The vote was scheduled for this Tuesday, but May not with a sufficient majority to take the agreement forward. His party, the conservative, has no absolute majority in the Chamber and, in addition, a good part of his deputies to reject the document because it considered that a betrayal of the mandate of the british. The greater part of the labour also opposed. Finally the “premier” has opted to postpone the vote, as it has been known this Monday.

What happens now?

The scenario is uncertain. The british prime minister will try to add accessions to the agreement between the mps, under the threat of that then Uk is facing the possibility of a Brexit without agreement or, based on the judgment of the Court of the EU, even than no agreement. While, it could seek to reopen the negotiations with Brussels to present to meps reluctant to any improvement that came to terms with it, something that since the EU has rejected, deliberately, ensuring that the current is the only arrangement possible. The predictable backlash that would suffer May in the vote this Tuesday could have been taken advantage of by the leader of the opposition labour party, Jeremy Corbyn, to try to become one with the government, which would represent a slowdown for the Brexit. The newspaper “The Guardian” notes that the vote could be postponed until next week or even until January.

What would happen if the parliament rejects the agreement?

In the case that finally there is a new vote, and the parliament rejected the agreement, could occur from a Brexit without agreement -an option that May and Brussels reject the chaos that would result – until the fall of the british government, through a second referendum for the voters to say whether they want to or not that document or by a renegotiation with Brussels.