KATOWICE (Dagbladet): the climate summit in Katowice in Poland is now in the last crucial hours. According to the Norwegian forhandlingsteam there has been progress, but still there is much which remains that all the pieces will fall into place and 197 countries agree.
It is considered unlikely that the negotiations will be finished in the course of the evening, and it is unlikely to be any agreement until at least Saturday morning. The climate summit was planned for the end of the day, Friday.
In the vast konferansebygget in Katowice, it is now a tense mood around in the hallways, and still great uncertainty about the outcome.
From the Norwegian delegation is said that the big question is about what we agree on is “good enough” to give the world a sufficiently solid regulatory frameworks for the follow-up Parisavtalen.
Disagreement about the rules of the game
There are two major pending issues the world’s countries are going to have to agree on. The first is the so-called “Regelboka” for Parisavtalen.
BUSY: Climate and miljøminister Ola Elvestuen during a break in talks today. Photo: Alex Fjellberg / Dagbladet Show more
the Agreement is designed so that each country shall report into how much they will contribute to achieve the goal of limiting global warming to well below two degrees, and preferably is 1.5 degrees.
Regelboka it is now negotiated will, among other things to determine what these “national contributions” shall consist of, and whether the same rules apply to both poor and rich countries.
Norway’s position, in common with many western countries, is that there must be a common set of rules that apply to everyone, and that utslippskuttene in the national contributions should be clear and measurable, and that there must be a way that they can be compared across countries.
Many developing countries, and large utslippsland as China and India, are at his side concerned that they get a certain amount of flexibility within the regulations.
– Think all realize the seriousness
the Area of negotiations, Ola Elvestuen is to lead is all about what regelboka to say about reductions in emissions. On the site it should now, according to Elvestuen, no longer be too large disagreements left to resolve.
– You know never if any will be extra difficult, but we have a text that is close enough that we should be able to agree, and I think all realize the seriousness, says Elvestuen.
An area where both the Norwegian delegation and the Climate action network (an umbrella organization of over 1,000 environmental organizations) report that it remains very much work, is about the rules for a “global review” of how the world governs in relation to the klimamålene.
contractual wording in this area will remain messy and unclear, and far away from an acceptable level, according to the Norwegian delegation.
Yamide Dagnet, World Resources Institute said during a press conference earlier in the day that also here are a number of developing countries concerned about their situation and needs are adequately safeguarded, and that there are “signals that gives cause for concern”.
All countries need to sharpen klimamålene
The “global review” should, according to the Parisavtalen happen every five years, and provide a basis that countries gradually sharpens its climate targets. That each country sets ever more stringent targets is one of the keys in the Parisavtalen.
Here is the reason why finansfolket has been concerned about the climate
Norway and a number of other countries have already signaled that they will sign a more ambitious target in 2020.
Currently control the goals each country has set itself against a catastrophic warming of three degrees.
There should also be a lot that remains in the negotiations on a technically complex area that deals with how emissions trading should work under Parisavtalen.
– Dim
The other major obstacle is all about each individual country’s willingness to raise the aspirations of their contribution to achieve the goals of the Parisavtalen, and the manner in which the 1,5-gradersrapporten from the Un intergovernmental panel on climate change should be reflected in the final text of the climate summit.
– It’s all about how much pressure you should put on countries to increase klimamålene, ” says Bård Lahn, samfunnsforsker at Cicero center for climate research.
What many have expected is a clear message from the climate summit that it needed increased ambition. Currently, I think it is pretty weak. The preliminary text says that it takes more effort, but it is a very small clear marching, ” says Lahn.
Four countries creates trouble
Countries that are particularly vulnerable to climate change, as the Maldives and the marshall islands, but also the Uk through an association called the High ambition coalition, has repeatedly emphasized that the 1.5-gradersrapporten must be the central element in the outcome of the climate summit.
– CRITICAL HOURS: Jennifer Morgan, director of Greenpeace. Photo: Omar Marques / Sopa images / REX / NTB Scanpix Show more
In that area have the united STATES, Russia, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia was strongly against. They at first refused to “wish report” and “welcome”, which created very strong reactions.
In the text now exists during the negotiations “recognized” Klimapanelets work, and countries are “invited” to use the information in the report in further discussions.
Jennifer Morgan, chief of Greenpeace, said during a press conference in the afternoon that the climate summit now in the “critical hours”.
– It is now we’ll see if the world actually understood the 1,5-gradersrapporten, and is willing to translate science into action.
– You don’t listen to us. You did never
