“Nothing is clear – everything is still possible”
“It was near the eye but the prime minister Theresa May has extended his own political life.”
“Now, she has still a chance to get through their contract.”
“But fail she in the beginning of the next week, so the question is if the EU is not going to put hard against hard.”
“Thursday’s vote means that the british request for a shorter extension of the deadline for brexit. “
“It is completely the opposite to what May be desirable, and said during the whole process.”
“– the Uk will leave the 29 march with or without a contract, has been her mantra.”
“Still fits the latest developments very well in her tactical game that by getting as close to the precipice as possible to force her own party colleagues to vote for her skilsmässoavtal even if they don’t like it. The threat is that they might not otherwise receive any brexit at all.”
“That parliament has already twice voted down her agreement with the overwhelming majority does not preclude that May intend to submit it a third time and maybe even a fourth.”
“On the Tuesday of the next week she hopes to get a majority to say yes, just two days before she travels to Brussels for the EU summit. “
“A key role in the work of the attorney-general Geoffrey Cox. He pressed now by May to come up with a legal advice that makes the opponents feel confident that the so-called our backup plan is going for the border between Ireland and northern Ireland does not mean that the Uk could be forced to remain in a customs union with the EU for an indefinite period of time. If the Cox says that the british themselves can break the agreement whenever they want to, it would give those that have so far voted against a chance to save face and change his voice.”
“Success May she gets no problem to get EU leaders to agree to an extension to June 30 for all the texts should have to be rewritten. “
“In that kind of location, it is clear that the Uk will leave in an orderly manner.”
“But really can May present what is effectively the same agreement again and again?”
“the Answer is yes. So long as the president forbids her or parliament votes to stop her. “
“she Manages to not get it approved ahead of the EU summit, she will probably try one more time just before the regular deadline runs out on 29 march. When will the press to be even greater in the hard-line brexitörerna in her own party. But she must also get at least 25 to 30 of the Labour party members in order to succeed.”
“Survived by a whisker”
“In the evening it was extremely close to the parliament voted to take over the entire process. The proposal was defeated with only two votes. “
“May survived by a whisker and saved an otherwise disastrous week.”
“Yet she has not the matter into their own hands. The uk asks for a deferral, but it is the EU that decides whether they want to give her it or not. A short extension when the agreement has already been approved is as I said no problems. But if May come to Brussels without an approved agreement on Thursday in next week, teach the leaders of the EUROPEAN union to be far more hårdflirtade.”
“They will want to know the basis on which the Uk request an extension. If it is to hold a second referendum or a new election so they say probably yes. But if it is about to give the british more time to wrangle among ourselves, it is highly doubtful. In such a mode, the EU will probably impose specific requirements on the Uk.”
“remember, all 27 EU leaders must agree. It is enough that one says no, so there will be no extension.”
“this puts the Uk in a no man’s land, where the parliament decided that the country may leave the EUROPEAN union, without a contract but where there is no longer any time to negotiate a new settlement. Even if the decision was not legally binding, it will be difficult for May to go against it.”
“this is one of the few ways for the british to pull back to paragraph 50 that sparked the whole utträdesförfarandet, and presently remaining in the EU. At a later stage be able to come back and start the whole process from the beginning.”
“it Sounds confusing and complicated? It is nothing against what it is. Or as a british journalist said yesterday.”
“– The one who is confused now has not grasped anything.”
“In the clear: Nothing is clear. Everything is still possible.”
