LONDON – looming confrontation between the United Kingdom and the Eu for the second delicate phase of the negotiations on the Brexit. In the speech today will be held Boris Johnson at noon, italy time to London, and that the Republic has obtained in advance, the british prime minister will showcase his hard line on the upcoming negotiations. An approach that will, almost certainly, to a heated confrontation with the Eu, with consequences that are potentially very large for both blocks.
“we don’t need a free trade agreement that imposes the alignment with the Eu rules on competition, social protection, State aid, the environment, and the like”, said the premier, “or nothing more than what the Eu would be obliged to accept in exchange for the rules of the United Kingdom”. Translated: Johnson, contravening in part the same ‘withdrawal Agreement’ (in the part of the “policy statement” non-binding) reached with Europe last October to exit from the Eu, does notice right away that you do not bow to the so-called level playing fields that purports to Europe in exchange for a free trade agreement, post-Brexit, that is those assurances that London will remain aligned with Eu rules on State aid, social standards, environmental, health and tax in order to stop dumping or unfair competition.
Johnson, instead, will make the big voice on this one. Not only that, the british prime minister is going to threaten a No Deal, that is a dangerous exit without a substantive agreement with the Eu to achieve by the next 31 December in the so-called transition period. Johnson, in fact, will say: “we Want a free-trade agreement, possibly on the model of Canada, but if we are unable to reach with the Eu, we could get away with a agreement style of Australia”. That is, in technical jargon, an agreement risicatissimo with the Eu, only on some vital point. In short, a “means No Deal”.
There will be eleven months to negotiate, but certainly the beginning is not of the most promising, indeed. As anticipated yesterday by the Republic, the Eu will immediately clear its priorities. The strategy that Barnier will present him today, but in Brussels, predicts that Europe will not allow the City of London, namely, his “empire” of financial services, banks and insurance companies operate in the Eu market of 440 million people if the first will not be closed in the negotiations on trade and fishing. The same treatment you will have on the access to the data of the police and counter-terrorism: two areas of vital interest for the british on what Europe decides motu proprio, and then will keep London on the wire, until the last.
in Short, we can discern a clash very hard between London and the Eu. And we are only at the beginning of the negotiations that are decisive for the future of the economies and of the geopolitical balance in the west.
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