It sweeps an autumn storm through the Arab world, the smells of a long-gone spring. A new wave of uprisings shook the Region. In Lebanon, a quarter of the population, irrespective of denominational dividing lines on the road, and the protesters are cheering the resignation of Premier Saad Hariri. In Iraq, the overthrow of the head of the government, Adil Abd al-Mahdi is a matter of time, but here, too, the Angry summon the unity of the people and chanting: “We are all Iraqis!” In Algeria, where mass protests have already prepared for the Regime of the aged heads of state Abdelaziz Bouteflika to an end, people go out more on Fridays on the road. And in Cairo you do not do this just because of the police state of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi arbitrarily, thousands of arrest made.
are So different in these countries, so little of the protests are related to each other (unlike during the revolutions of 2011), there are Fundamental, what unites them. It is essential for Europe to look carefully on it and to draw conclusions for the policy towards the Region. Because the consequences of not-yet-foreseeable disruptions will have a significant impact here, too.
On the martyrs ‘ square of Beirut festival atmosphere, the Tahrir in Baghdad, the protest song “Bella Ciao resounds in Arabic rewritten”. It is the original Text, the workers in the rice fields of Northern Italy is the beginning of the 20th century. Century sang that sums up in two lines, what is it that drives today, the people in the Middle East and North Africa on the road: “A shameful work for a pittance and the life will be consumed of it.” The people are crying out for Dignity, and this term has a deeply existential meaning.
did Not even have electricity and water flow is reliable
Algeria, Lebanon and Iraq are societies characterized by deeply from the Trauma of war and civil war. The System, the state was always, as a guarantee against a relapse into bloody self-destruction. However, the young Generation, the Status quo appears to be so unbearable that you can’t be more horror – she has not experienced the atrocities themselves, their parents were still twitching. You can, however, also not be intimidated, that, for example, in Iraq masked snipers on unarmed, flag-waving young people to fire. 250 Dead has existed since the beginning of the protests a month ago. But the Frustration is stronger than the fear.
A young population, two out of three people in these countries are under 30, poses great opportunities – but only if the state can provide education, Jobs and prospects. The reality looks different: horrendous youth unemployment, even among academics. The rise and prosperity are reserved for those Connections. The population is impoverished, while a small layer wallows in obscene wealth. The public sector in Iraq, or in Lebanon can’t ensure the supply of electricity or water.
And so, citizens are calling for an end to the systemic corruption, the Clientelism, the overthrow of the elites that enrich themselves. But the foundations of the political order. In Iraq and in Lebanon, the confessional proportional representation – oriented System should establish the Religion and population groups, peace and justice. However, it is a perversion to the basis for minion supply along these lines. In Egypt and Algeria the army and the secret services have used their undisputed position to build a state within a state, deprived of any control and the benefice assigns.
Good governance
It is questionable whether these countries can reform in the framework of their existing regulations so that they meet the demands of its citizens to meet demand. Similarly, it is unclear whether the protesters can maintain in Iraq and in Lebanon, its unity, or the deep-rooted rivalries between the faith and religious groups to break through – if at the end of Chaos and violence. The revolutionary Regime in Iran in any case, as the most important external factor of power in Lebanon, as in Iraq, with parties and militias represented, makes it clear that it will not accept changes to its loads.
the only thing certain is that the problems are not without good governance, solve, and this is a requirement for many people in the Region even before the equally legitimate Call for democratic freedoms. The Tunisians, who won in 2011 in the Arab spring of democracy, have recently elected a largely unknown lawyers for the President to be not of a rich media Mogul ruled, considered to be corrupt. Good governance should also be for the Europeans, in accordance with the policy towards all these countries.
Neither the sea, nor fences to keep the boys
Europe needs to abandon the Illusion that Egypt is stable. President Sisi, the Donald Trump in a Moment of disarming honesty, “favorite dictator,” has called my press, the protests are still under the limits of some of the masses will stop. However, if the countries of North Africa and the Middle East do not offer their fast-growing Nations basic services, let alone prospects for a life in Dignity, will implode the systems or with brutal violence against their own citizens to do it.
At the same time, the young emerging from hopelessness is the fear of one’s own state will be seeking their future elsewhere, especially in Europe. The deadly danger of Crossing the Mediterranean will not stop you, border it be fences. The autumn storm will also be back at Europe’s foundations shake, like after the overturning of the year 2011 and the consequent escape of movement.
Created: 30.10.2019, 20:40 PM