ARE almost 1700, to march 2, the people who were positive in Italy, to the new coronavirus . In one day there has been an increase of approximately 500 new diagnosis. But this growth was expected, given that it is infected people at least a week ago, before that they had taken measures to stop the spread of the virus. If you do not need to power the alarm, the data can instead be a useful tool to understand how to evolve with the epidemic of Covid-2019, and how to behave. Here’s what I think the experts.
First of all do not have to be afraid of these numbers. “The increase was absolutely expected,” she clarified Gianni Rezza , director of the Department of infectious Diseases of the national Institute of Health, “the numbers reflect the presence of an outbreak is important in some Italian areas. The new cases of the coronavirus that we’re seeing are people infected with a week or two weeks ago, considering that the incubation period can be up to 12-14 days”. And many of the people infected have mild symptoms or have no symptoms. “But there is still a large number of people, approximately 15%, which has severe symptoms, another reason why the disease should not be underestimated”, adds Security. “And it is necessary to adopt rules and appropriate behaviours, as indicated by the authorities, as well as put all the weapons in the field to contain the outbreak, as we are already doing.”
Waiting for two weeks To observe if and how the measures taken are effective, we will have to wait about two weeks, ” explains Massimo Andreoni , scientific director of the Italian Society of infectious and tropical diseases. “They surely are,” added Andreoni, “but in order to have a clearer idea of their impact and of how to evolve the situation, we have to observe the trend of the epidemic of Covid-2019 in Italy, at least for the next two weeks”. If the measures are efficient in about 15 days the new diagnosis should decline, ” adds the expert, and we could go towards a stabilization of the epidemic, up to the absence of new cases, and then to the decline of the people infected with the increase of the healed.
